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Latest News

Fannie Mae: So Now Things are Moving Too Fast?

Some people are never happy.  For most of the ten years following the start of the Great Recession the experts have focused (can we say harped?) on the theme of a slow recovery. Now, after a couple of upticks in the inflation rate, Fannie Mae has headlined its February Economic Developments release "Strong Economic Activity Triggers Overheating Concerns." The company's Economic and Strategic Research Team say economic activity gathered momentum over the last few months and "markets are beginning to appreciate the broader implications of the stronger growth. That realization, along with a change in the direction of monetary policy has introduced some volatility into the economic equation.

 

 

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A Happy New Year for Construction Stats

Residential construction got off to a strong start in January, with sizable increases in both permits and housing starts and only a slight downturn in completions. The gains follow a particularly disappointing performance in construction starts in December.  Statistics were spotty on a regional basis, and especially weak in the Midwest. The Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development said residential construction permits were at an annual rate of 1,396,000 units, a 7.4 percent increase over both December and January 2017.   The annual rate clock in both earlier periods was 1,300,000.  The December number was a slight revision from the 1,302,000 originally reported. Permitting exceeded even the highest forecasts.

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Fannie/Freddie Need Your Money Again, But Not Like They Used To

While the prospect of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac needing taxpayer money conjures up images of a failing mortgage market requiring a government bailout, that's very far from the case this time around.  In fact, taxpayers continue to come out way ahead with respect to the GSEs' conservatorship agreement, even after the draws that will be needed to cover 4th quarter losses.  At issue are one-time write-downs arising from accounting changes in response to the new tax bill.  After this, it should be business as usual (a business that has been returning a significant amount of money to US taxpayers).

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